European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Micallef (32'), Mendes (33')
Micallef (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Malta Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
| Result |
| Malta Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
9.54% ( 0.54) | 15.3% ( 0.62) | 75.16% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.09) |
| 64.9% ( -1.28) | 35.1% ( 1.28) |
| 42.9% ( -1.44) | 57.1% ( 1.44) |
| 54.99% ( 0.22) | 45.01% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.06% ( 0.18) | 80.94% ( -0.18) |
| 92.14% ( -0.54) | 7.85% ( 0.54) |
