European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Fale (8'), Vasconcelos (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tuma (71')
Caruana (41'), Letherby (42'),
Ellul (90+7')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-19s and Malta Under-19s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 97.7%. A draw had a probability of 1.9% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 0.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 4-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (13.26%) and 3-0 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.89%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 0-1 (0.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-19s would win this match.
| Result |
| Portugal Under-19s | Draw | Malta Under-19s |
97.7% ( 4.05) | 1.92% ( -2.82) | 0.38% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 23.43% ( -14.38) |
| 87.16% ( 4.99) | 12.84% ( -4.98) |
| 72.88% ( 7.8) | 27.12% ( -7.8) |
| 99.08% ( 0.97) | 0.92% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 94.76% ( 4.12) | 5.24% ( -4.12) |
| 23.64% ( -14.89) | 76.36% ( 14.9) |
