SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland Under-19s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Malta Under-19s | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portugal Under-19s had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Portugal Under-19s win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portugal Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
20.47% ( -27.06) | 22.93% ( -2.9) | 56.59% ( 29.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( 6.02) | 46.83% ( -6.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( 5.38) | 69.09% ( -5.38) |
| Portugal Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -14.81) | 37.05% ( 14.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( -18.17) | 73.83% ( 18.18) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 18.44) | 16.33% ( -18.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.07% ( 25.57) | 45.93% ( -25.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -5.61) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( -3.83)2-0 @ 2.98% ( -5.75)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -2.84)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.82)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -3.39)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.47% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -1.39) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -1.68)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 2.8) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 5.62)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 3.38)0-3 @ 6% ( 4.48)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 3.67)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1.24)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 2.32)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 2.09)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.89)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.9)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.85)Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.59% |
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