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European Under-21s Championship | Final
Jun 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Stožice
PN

Germany U21s
1 - 0
Portugal U21s

Nmecha (49')
Wirtz (12'), Nmecha (43'), Raum (90'), Ozcan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Braganca (58'), Jota (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
32.05%25.13%42.81%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57%69.42%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67%55.33%
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-21s 32.05%
    Portugal Under-21s 42.81%
    Draw 25.12%
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.81%

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