Italy U21s
2 - 0
ROI U21s

Sottil (43'), Cutrone (62')
Pirola (20'), Cerofolini (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (65'), Collins (68')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Republic of Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Republic of Ireland Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-21s	Draw	Republic of Ireland Under-21s
61.9%	21.59%	16.51%

Both teams to score 49.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92%

47.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68%

69.32%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33%

14.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18%

42.81%

Republic of Ireland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29%

41.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82%

78.17%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-21s 61.89%

Republic of Ireland Under-21s 16.51%

Draw 21.58%

Italy Under-21s	Draw	Republic of Ireland Under-21s
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.35% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.51%