Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece Under-21s win with a probability of 82.11%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Lithuania Under-21s had a probability of 5.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.09%) and 0-1 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Lithuania Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.