Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Russia Under-21s had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Russia Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Under-21s would win this match.