Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Iceland Under-21s had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Iceland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for France Under-21s in this match.