Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%).