Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21s	Draw	England Under-21s
45.43%	22.37%	32.2%

Both teams to score 66.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.96%

34.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.08%

55.92%

Portugal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4%

15.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.41%

44.59%

England Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53%

21.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5%

54.5%

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-21s 45.43%

England Under-21s 32.2%

Draw 22.37%

Portugal Under-21s	Draw	England Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-3 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 7.37% 0-1 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.59% Total : 32.2%