Spain U21s
0 - 0
Italy U21s

Guillamon (16'), Villar (45'), Zubimendi (76')
Mingueza (87')

Frabotta (24'), Pobega (35'), Del Prato (51'), Rovella (69'), Scamacca (82'), Raspadori (90+5')
Scamacca (86'), Rovella (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Spain Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
43.95%	23.94%	32.11%

Both teams to score 60.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3%

41.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89%

64.1%

Spain Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78%

19.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08%

50.91%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8%

25.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06%

59.93%

Score Analysis

Spain Under-21s 43.95%

Italy Under-21s 32.11%

Draw 23.93%

Spain Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.27% Total : 43.95%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.11%