Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 94.45%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Estonia Under-21s had a probability of 0.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.36%) and 4-0 (15.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.18%), while for a Estonia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia Under-21s would win this match.