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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Dnipro Arena
K

Dnipro-1
2 - 0
Kovalivka

Ihnatenko (23'), Dovbyk (38')
Durasek (12'), Dubinchak (58'), Ihnatenko (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bogdanov (36'), Lysenko (66')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Kolos Kovalivka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawKolos Kovalivka
49.8%26.15%24.05%
Both teams to score 47.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1%55.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99%77.01%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93%56.07%
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32%38.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58%75.42%
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 49.79%
    Kolos Kovalivka 24.05%
    Draw 26.15%
Dnipro-1DrawKolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.2%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 24.05%

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