Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.