Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.