Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.