Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
