Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
