SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
45.59% ( 0.19) | 25.34% ( -0.02) | 29.07% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( -0.02) | 49.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.01) | 71.43% ( 0.02) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.08) | 21.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( 0.12) | 54.8% ( -0.12) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.13) | 31.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( -0.15) | 67.38% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.07% |
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