SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
17.28% ( -0.15) | 22.77% ( -0.07) | 59.95% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( 0.04) | 72.58% ( -0.04) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.11% ( -0.15) | 42.89% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( -0.13) | 79.2% ( 0.14) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( 0.09) | 16.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% ( 0.17) | 46.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.48% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 59.95% |
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