SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
52.05% ( -0.05) | 26.45% ( 0.02) | 21.5% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.02) | 59.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( -0.01) | 79.51% ( 0.02) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.03) | 22.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( -0.04) | 56.58% ( 0.05) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( 0.03) | 42.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( 0.02) | 79.28% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.5% |
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