Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.