Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.