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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
KSK Nika

Oleksandriya
3 - 0
Karpaty

Amaral Ferreira Guimaraes (36', 54' pen., 87' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez Garcia (44')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 2-1 Oleksandriya
Saturday, April 26 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
FC OleksandriyaDrawKarpaty Lviv
39.96% (-0.13 -0.13) 29.3% (-0.058 -0.06) 30.73% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 43.3% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.62% (0.227 0.23)63.37% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.26% (0.162 0.16)82.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.045999999999999 0.05)67.33% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (0.268 0.27)37.22% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (0.264 0.26)74% (-0.26700000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Oleksandriya 39.96%
    Karpaty Lviv 30.73%
    Draw 29.29%
FC OleksandriyaDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 11.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.29%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 30.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-0 Polissya
Sunday, November 3 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 2-1 Inhulets
Saturday, October 26 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-0 Vorskla
Saturday, October 19 at 11.35am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-1 Oleksandriya
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 2-0 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, September 21 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Karpaty 3-0 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, November 2 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Karpaty 1-0 Obolon
Saturday, October 26 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Karpaty
Monday, October 21 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Karpaty 0-0 Inhulets
Friday, October 4 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Karpaty 1-3 Polissya
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-1 Karpaty
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League


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