SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Karpaty Lviv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
25.37% ( 0) | 25.21% ( 0.01) | 49.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( -0.05) | 51.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.05) | 73.1% ( 0.05) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.03) | 34.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( -0.03) | 71.7% ( 0.03) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.03) | 20.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.04) | 53.39% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.42% |
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