SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Oleksandriya in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
41.92% ( 0.02) | 28.32% ( -0.01) | 29.76% |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.57% ( 0.04) | 60.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.44% ( 0.03) | 80.56% ( -0.02) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.03) | 28.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.03) | 64.2% ( -0.03) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.02) | 36.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 0.02) | 73.14% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.76% |
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