SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 43.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
43.59% ( 0.52) | 28.9% ( -0.19) | 27.51% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.47) | 63.16% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( 0.34) | 82.58% ( -0.33) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( 0.52) | 28.86% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( 0.63) | 64.72% ( -0.63) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.01) | 39.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( -0.01) | 76.37% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.51% |
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