SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
28.95% ( -0.93) | 27.53% ( -0.47) | 43.52% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( 1.3) | 57.96% ( -1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( 1.01) | 78.66% ( -1.02) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.02) | 72.42% ( 0.01) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 1.35) | 26.42% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( 1.76) | 61.59% ( -1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.51% |
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