SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
42.49% ( -0.12) | 28.3% ( 0.02) | 29.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.45% ( -0.05) | 60.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( -0.04) | 80.65% ( 0.04) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.09) | 28.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( -0.11) | 63.88% ( 0.11) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.04) | 36.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.35% ( 0.04) | 73.64% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.2% |
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