SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
41.05% ( 0.11) | 26.87% ( -0.02) | 32.08% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( 0.07) | 54.41% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.06) | 75.79% ( -0.05) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.09) | 26.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 0.12) | 61.15% ( -0.12) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.02) | 31.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( -0.03) | 67.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.08% |
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