Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%).