Mariupol
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Korniienko (23'), Kashchuk (45+3')
Ihnatenko (37'), Muravskyi (48'), Kulakov (58')
Muravskyi (65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Khoblenko (66' pen.)
Loginov (45'), Svatok (58'), Di Franco (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Dnipro-1
38.5%	25.91%	35.59%

Both teams to score 54.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18%

49.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18%

71.82%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85%

60.14%

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73%

27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64%

62.35%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 38.5%

Dnipro-1 35.59%

Draw 25.91%

Mariupol	Draw	Dnipro-1
1-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.5%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.59%