SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Minai had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
28.31% ( -0.29) | 24.47% ( 0.04) | 47.22% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.91% ( -0.35) | 46.09% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% ( -0.33) | 68.39% ( 0.33) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( -0.38) | 29.91% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( -0.47) | 66.01% ( 0.47) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.04) | 19.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( -0.06) | 51.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.31% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.22% |
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