SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
21.54% ( 0.44) | 24.63% ( 0.07) | 53.83% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.2) | 52.46% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( 0.17) | 74.13% ( -0.17) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.56) | 39.17% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( 0.53) | 75.88% ( -0.53) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.12) | 19.44% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.2) | 51.27% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.54% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.83% |
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