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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Livyi Bereh

Luhansk
1 - 0
Chornomorets

Horbach (12')
Juninho (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-2 Luhansk
Tuesday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 3-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, April 7 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
51.86% (0.139 0.14) 23.12% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 25.02% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.145 0.15)42.61% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.144 0.14)65.01% (-0.139 -0.14)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.10499999999999 0.1)16.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.185 0.19)46.2% (-0.181 -0.18)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.59% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 51.86%
    Chornomorets Odesa 25.02%
    Draw 23.11%
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 25.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-2 Luhansk
Tuesday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 0-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-1 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Luhansk
Tuesday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-0 Minai
Thursday, March 7 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 0-0 Luhansk
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 3-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, April 7 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 1-4 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-1 Veres
Sunday, March 17 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-1 Vorskla
Saturday, March 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 1-1 Chornomorets
Monday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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