Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Minai had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.55%) and 0-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.