Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Minai had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.