Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Metalist Kharkiv.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.