Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.