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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Metalist Kharkiv

Stepanenko (49'), Traore (80')
Santos (31'), Krivtsov (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zapadnya (16'), Remenyuk (32'), Shershen (82'), Batyushin (85')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Metalist Kharkiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawMetalist Kharkiv
59.61%23.9%16.49%
Both teams to score 43.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95%56.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87%77.13%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4%18.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12%49.88%
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.92%47.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45%82.55%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 59.6%
    Metalist Kharkiv 16.49%
    Draw 23.9%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawMetalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 14.73%
2-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 5.23%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.97%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 59.6%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 4.18%
0-2 @ 2.48%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.49%

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