SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
48.38% ( -0.26) | 25.75% ( 0.08) | 25.87% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( -0.18) | 53.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.15) | 74.6% ( 0.15) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.19) | 21.92% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.29) | 55.19% ( 0.29) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( 0.06) | 35.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( 0.06) | 72.25% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 25.87% |
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