SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
34.49% ( 0.05) | 29.4% ( -0.01) | 36.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.8% ( 0.03) | 63.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% ( 0.02) | 82.61% ( -0.02) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( 0.05) | 34.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( 0.05) | 71.12% ( -0.05) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.01) | 33.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.01) | 69.95% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.11% |
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