Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.