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F
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2020 at 12am UK
Parque Capurro

Fenix
1 - 1
Progreso

Franco (2')
Franco (77'), Schetino (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Andrada (71')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Fenix win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
FenixDrawProgreso
32.59%24.64%42.77%
Both teams to score 58.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22%44.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86%67.14%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99%21.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21%53.79%
Score Analysis
    Fenix 32.59%
    Progreso 42.77%
    Draw 24.63%
FenixDrawProgreso
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 1.82%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.77%


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