SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
43.9% ( 0.6) | 29.34% ( -0.22) | 26.76% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 41.4% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.2% ( 0.49) | 64.8% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.25% ( 0.35) | 83.75% ( -0.34) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.58) | 29.49% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% ( 0.7) | 65.5% ( -0.7) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.04) | 41.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.2% ( -0.04) | 77.8% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 26.76% |
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