SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
35.33% ( 0.03) | 27.52% ( -0.01) | 37.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% ( 0.03) | 56.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% ( 0.03) | 77.46% ( -0.02) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( 0.03) | 30.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( 0.04) | 66.59% ( -0.04) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.01) | 29.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( 0.01) | 65.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.15% |
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