SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
33.34% ( -0.6) | 31.44% ( 0.18) | 35.22% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.64% ( -0.51) | 69.36% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.18% ( -0.33) | 86.82% ( 0.33) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( -0.73) | 38.63% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.62% ( -0.7) | 75.38% ( 0.7) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0.01) | 37.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.93% ( 0.01) | 74.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 33.34% | 0-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.43% | 0-1 @ 14.21% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 35.22% |
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