River Plate
2 - 3
Nacional

Leites (6'), Viera (21')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bergessio (12', 45+2', 76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Nacional
21.59%	25.08%	53.33%

Both teams to score 47.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87%

54.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45%

75.55%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.93%

40.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.28%

76.71%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35%

52.64%

Score Analysis

River Plate 21.59%

Nacional 53.32%

Draw 25.07%

River Plate	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.59%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.62% Total : 53.32%