SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
27.06% ( 0.56) | 23% ( -0.04) | 49.93% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( 0.65) | 40.26% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( 0.67) | 62.64% ( -0.67) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( 0.75) | 27.8% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.6% ( 0.95) | 63.39% ( -0.96) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.05) | 16.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.09) | 45.89% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.06% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.93% |
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