SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
37.92% ( -0.04) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 38.24% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.05) | 40.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.05) | 62.42% ( -0.05) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% | 21.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( 0) | 54.2% ( -0.01) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( 0.04) | 21.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.04% ( 0.06) | 53.96% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.24% |
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