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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
48.88% ( 0.19) | 22.89% ( 0.2) | 28.23% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.79% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( -1.24) | 38.87% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( -1.32) | 61.19% ( 1.31) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( -0.4) | 16.18% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( -0.72) | 45.65% ( 0.72) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.9) | 26.27% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -1.21) | 61.39% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.23% |
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