Caernarfon
0 - 4
New Saints

(37'), (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robles (57', 66'), Ebbe (69'), Clark (90+3')
Harrington (4'), Holland (50'), Boateng (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
27.69%	24.3%	48.01%

Both teams to score 56.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27%

45.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.95%

68.05%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81%

30.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.66%

66.34%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86%

19.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.21%

50.78%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 27.69%

The New Saints 48.01%

Draw 24.3%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.12% Total : 27.69%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.01%